Ahịa Europe nọgidere na-adị elu ma na-agbanwe agbanwe n'izu a, na ọnọdụ dị na Middle East mere ka Chevron mechie ebe ikuku gas dị na Syria, ahịa ahụ nọgidere na-atụ ụjọ, ma ọnụ ahịa TTF n'ọdịnihu dị elu ma na-agbanwe agbanwe n'ihi oke ahịa ahịa ugbu a.
Na United States, n'ihi ịdị umengwụ ọchịchọ na ike ọgwụgwụ nke ụjọ, United States LNG mbupụ ebelatala n'izu a, mbupụ na-ebelata, na ọkọnọ nke raw gas site na mbupụ ọdụ ụgbọ mmiri ebelatawo, ma n'ihi mgbanwe nke NG n'ọdịnihu contracts. N'ọnwa a, ọnụ ahịa gas na-ere mmanụ na United States ebilila.
a) Nchịkọta ahịa
Dị ka nke October 24, United States Henry Port eke gas (NG) n'ọdịnihu price bụ 3.322 US dollar / nde British thermal, ma e jiri ya tụnyere gara aga okirikiri (10.17) mụbara site 0.243 US dollar / nde British thermal, mmụba nke 7.89%; Ọnụ ahịa gas sitere n'okike nke Dutch (TTF) bụ $15.304 / mmBTU, gbagoro $0.114 / mmBTU site na okirikiri gara aga (10.17), ma ọ bụ 0.75%.
Na United States, ndị United States Henry Port (NG) n'ọdịnihu ahịa gosiri a rebound omume mgbe n'ozuzu ọdịda n'ime izu, United States eke gas n'ọdịnihu ahịa gosiri a ala ala n'izu a, ma n'ihi mmetụta nke nkwekọrịta mgbanwe, Ọnụ ahịa NG n'ọdịnihu bilitere.
N'akụkụ mbupụ, mbupụ US LNG dara n'izu a n'ihi ịdị nwayọọ na ụjọ na-ebelata, na mbupụ ebelatala.
Site n'echiche teknụzụ, United States Henry Port Futures (NG) bụ ala dị ala na-ebili, ọnụahịa United States Henry Port Futures (NG) na 3.34 US dollar / nde British fever nso, KDJ ala na-achọ ibili. nke ndụdụ, MACD n'okpuru efu bottoming, ọdịda akwụsịla, United States Henry Port futures (NG) price n'izu a gosiri a ala rebound omume.
Na Europe, ngwaahịa ahịa ahịa Europe nọgidere na-abawanye, dị ka European Natural Gas Infrastructure Association data na-egosi na dị ka nke October 23, mkpokọta ngwaahịa na Europe bụ 1123Twh, na ikike nke 98.63%, mmụba nke 0.05% na Europe. ụbọchị gara aga, yana mmụba na-aga n'ihu na ngwa ahịa.
Ahịa Europe nọgidere na-adị elu ma na-agbanwe agbanwe n'izu a, na ọnọdụ dị na Middle East mere ka Chevron mechie ebe ikuku gas dị na Syria, ahịa ahụ nọgidere na-atụ ụjọ, ma ọnụ ahịa TTF n'ọdịnihu dị elu ma na-agbanwe agbanwe n'ihi oke ahịa ahịa ugbu a.
Dị ka nke October 24, US Port Henry Natural Gas (HH) na-atụ anya ịhụ ọnụ ahịa nke $2.95 / mmBTU, elu $0.01 / mmBTU site na nkeji iri na ise gara aga (10.17), mmụba nke 0.34%. Canadian Natural Gas (AECO) ntụpọ ọnụahịa bụ $1.818 / mmBTU, gbagoro $0.1 / mmBTU site na ọnwa gara aga (10.17), mmụba nke 5.83%.
Henry Port Natural Gas (HH) na-atụ anya na ọnụ ahịa ntụpọ ga-adịgide adịgide, mbupụ LNG adalatala, isi ahịa ndị ahịa na-achọ na mpụga mpaghara ahụ ka ọ kwụsie ike, enweghị nkwado doro anya, Henry Port Natural gas (HH) na-atụ anya ka ọ nọgide na-akwụsi ike. .
Dị ka nke October 24, Northeast Asia ntụpọ mbata China (DES) price bụ $17.25 / nde BTU, elu $0.875 / nde BTU si gara aga nkeji iri na ise (10.17), mmụba nke 5.34%; Ọnụ ego ntụpọ TTF bụ $14.955 / mmBTU, gbagoro $0.898 / mmBTU site na nkeji gara aga (10.17), mmụba nke 6.39%.
Ọnụ ahịa ntụpọ ndị ahịa na-arị elu ugbu a, ụjọ na-atụ ndị ahịa ugbu a juputara, ntule echiche ahịa siri ike, ndị na-ere ahịa na-ere ahịa dị elu, na-ebu ọnụ ahịa ndị ahịa ebiliwo.
b) Akụrụngwa
N'ihi na izu kwụsịrị Oct. 13, dị ka US Energy Agency, US eke gas inventories bụ 3,626 ijeri cubic ụkwụ, mmụba nke 97 ijeri cubic ụkwụ, ma ọ bụ 2.8%; Ngwaahịa dị 3,000 cubic ụkwụ, ma ọ bụ 9.0%, dị elu karịa otu afọ gara aga. Nke ahụ bụ ijeri cubic 175, ma ọ bụ 5.1%, karịa nkezi afọ ise.
Maka izu ahụ kwụsịrị Ọktọba 13, ngwaahịa gas na Europe guzoro na 3,926.271 ijeri cubic feet, elu 43.34 ijeri cubic feet, ma ọ bụ 1.12%, site na izu gara aga, dị ka European Gas Infrastructure Association si kwuo. Ngwa ahịa dị ijeri cubic 319.287, ma ọ bụ 8.85%, dị elu karịa otu afọ gara aga.
N'izu a, US eke gas Ndepụta Ngwaahịa bilitere nwayọọ nwayọọ, n'ihi na elu ntụpọ ọnụ ahịa, na-eduga mbubata ọzọ echere-na-ahụ àgwà, isi n'ji ahịa ntụpọ nzụta achọ dara sharply, US ngwa ahịa ibu ọnụego bilie. Ngwaahịa ndị dị na Europe amụbaala nke ọma, na-arị elu ugbu a ihe fọrọ nke nta ka ọ bụrụ 98%, a na-atụkwa anya mbelata nke uto ngwaahịa ngwaahịa ga-ebelata n'ọdịnihu.
c) Mbubata na mbupụ mmiri mmiri
A na-atụ anya na US ga-ebubata 0m³ na okirikiri a (10.23-10.29); A na-atụ anya na United States ga-ebupụ 3,900,000 m³, nke dị 4.88% dị ala karịa oke mbupụ n'ezie nke 410,00,000 m³ na okirikiri gara aga.
Ka ọ dị ugbu a, ọchịchọ adịghị ike n'ahịa ndị ahịa bụ isi na ihe ndị dị elu emeela ka ọ daa na mbupụ US LNG.
a) Nchịkọta ahịa
Dị ka nke October 25, ọnụ ahịa ọnụ LNG bụ 5,268 yuan / ton, elu 7% site na izu gara aga, gbadaa 32.45% afọ na afọ; Ọnụ ahịa mpaghara mmepụta ihe bụ 4,772 yuan / ton, gbagoro 8.53% site na izu gara aga wee gbadaa 27.43% kwa afọ.
Ọnụ ahịa dị n'elu na-egosi usoro elu. N'ihi ịrị elu nke ụlọ mmiri mmiri Northwest na ọnụ ahịa dị elu nke mmiri mmiri mmiri, a na-ebuli ọnụ ahịa elu na mbupu site na ọnụ ahịa mbupu na-ebili.
Dị ka Ọktọba 25, nkezi ọnụahịa nke LNG natara na mba niile bụ 5208 yuan / ton, gbagoro 7.23% site na izu gara aga wee gbadata 28.12% kwa afọ. Ọnụ ahịa mbupu na-emetụta ihe ndị dị n'elu, na-ebugharị ahịa iji nweta ọnụ ahịa ngwaahịa dị elu.
Dị ka Ọktọba 24, mkpokọta akụrụngwa ụlọ LNG bụ tọn 328,300 n'otu ụbọchị, gbadara 14.84% site na oge gara aga. Ka elu na-ebuli ọnụ ahịa ma na-ere ngwa ahịa, ahịa akụrụngwa mbụ dị nro, nke butere mbelata nke ngwa ahịa.
b) Nnweta
N'izu a (10.19-10.25) ọnụ ọgụgụ na-arụ ọrụ nke 236 anụ ụlọ LNG data nnyocha na-egosi na n'ezie mmepụta nke 742.94 nde square, nke a Wednesday ọrụ ọnụego nke 64.6%, kwụsiri ike n'izu gara aga. Ọnụego ọrụ ike dị irè nke Wednesde a bụ 67.64%, gbagoro pasentị 0.01 site na izu gara aga. Ọnụ ọgụgụ nke osisi ọhụrụ maka mmezi na nkwụsị bụ 1, nke nwere ike zuru ezu nke 700,000 cubic mita / ụbọchị; Ọnụ ọgụgụ nke ụlọ ọrụ eweghachiri ọhụrụ bụ 0, nke nwere mkpokọta ikike nke 0 nde square mita kwa ụbọchị. (Rịba ama: A kọwapụtara ikike na-abaghị uru dị ka mmepụta kwụsịrị ihe karịrị afọ 2; Ikike dị irè na-ezo aka na ikike LNG mgbe e wepụrụ ikike na-abaghị uru. Ngụkọta mmepụta LNG nke ụlọ bụ 163.05 nde cubic mita / ụbọchị, yana 28 nkwụsị ogologo oge, 7.29 nde cubic mita / ụbọchị nke ike na-abaghị uru na 155.76 nde cubic mita / ụbọchị nke ikike dị irè.)
N'ihe banyere mmiri mmiri mmiri, ngụkọta nke ndị na-ebu LNG 20 natara n'ọdụ ụgbọ mmiri 13 na-anata n'ime usoro a, mmụba nke ụgbọ mmiri 5 n'ime izu gara aga, na olu ọdụ ụgbọ mmiri bụ 1,291,300 tọn, 37.49% ma e jiri ya tụnyere 939,200 ton n'izu gara aga. Mba ndị bụ isi na-ebubata na okirikiri a bụ Australia, Qatar na Malaysia, ndị na-abịarute ọdụ ụgbọ mmiri nke tọn 573,800, tọn 322,900 na tọn 160,700 n'otu n'otu. N'ebe ọ bụla na-anata ọdụ, CNOOC Dapeng natara ụgbọ mmiri 3, CNPC Caofeidian na CNOOC Binhai natara ụgbọ mmiri 2 nke ọ bụla, na ndị ọzọ na-anata ọdụ natara 1 ụgbọ mmiri ọ bụla.
c) Arịrịọ
Ngụkọta ọnụ ụlọ LNG n'izu a (10.18-10.24) bụ tọn 721,400, mbelata nke tọn 53,700, ma ọ bụ 6.93%, site na izu gara aga (10.11-10.17). Mbupu ụlọ ọrụ n'ime ụlọ ruru tọn 454,200, mbelata nke tọn 35,800, ma ọ bụ 7.31%, site na izu gara aga (10.11-10.17). N'ihi na-anata ọdụ na mmiri mmiri osisi ebulila price nke Mbupu, mbubreyo downstream elu price nnabata iguzogide, na-akpali Mbupu Mbelata.
N'ihe banyere mmiri mmiri mmiri, ọnụ ọgụgụ nke mbupu nke ọdụ ụgbọ mmiri nke ụlọ bụ ụgbọ ala 14,055, gbadara 9.48% site na ụgbọ ala 14,055 n'izu gara aga (10.11-10.17), ọdụ ụgbọ mmiri welitere ọnụ ahịa mbupu, mbupu ala na-eguzogide ọgwụ, yana Mbupu oke nke tankị jụrụ.
Oge nzipu: Ọktoba 27-2023